An example of the bad use of statistics, from Nate Silver (via ilyagerner):
A new CNN poll finds that 55 percent of voters have a negative view of the Republican Party, tied for their second-highest unfavorable score since CNN began asking this question in 1992. […]
The news for Democrats is not any better. Some 49 percent of voters now hold a negative view of the party, according to the poll. […] The combined unfavorable score for both parties — 104 percent — is also a record, and represents the first time that the figure has been above 100.
As ilyagerner points out, however:
Silver suggests “A credible independent bid for the presidency is always a long-shot, but might be more viable under these conditions,” but I don’t see why that would be. Who cares about the combined unfavorable score for both parties? If anything, that’s a sign of increased partisan polarization, which would make it more difficult for an independent candidate to make headway. An interesting trendline would be the percentage of Americans who simultaneously hold an unfavorable view of the Democrats and an unfavorable view of the Republicans, which is not a number that could not add up to over 100%.
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lifeadelica likes this
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last--minute likes this
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the-towns-finest reblogged this from ilovecharts and added:
So, combined, people are 104% dissatisfied. I think there’s a problem here.
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akaiving likes this
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vinautomatic reblogged this from ilovecharts and added:
Interesting, demos never were looked at worse than rep. I fucking hate red states and somehow I now live in one. Well,...
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vinautomatic likes this
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downwiththedan reblogged this from ilovecharts and added:
So, if Republicans have consistently been seen as less favorable than Democrats, why do they continue to be elected? I...
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alanerate reblogged this from ilovecharts and added:
I don’t see how that green line is sustainable for much longer.
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jakke said:
Yeah, the line where he adds together both parties’ numbers is basically meaningless, as far as I can tell.
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mikedory reblogged this from ilovecharts and added:
Yup. That looks about right.
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![An example of the bad use of statistics, from Nate Silver (via ilyagerner):
A new CNN poll finds that 55 percent of voters have a negative view of the Republican Party, tied for their second-highest unfavorable score since CNN began asking this question in 1992. […]
The news for Democrats is not any better. Some 49 percent of voters now hold a negative view of the party, according to the poll. […] The combined unfavorable score for both parties — 104 percent — is also a record, and represents the first time that the figure has been above 100.
As ilyagerner points out, however:
Silver suggests “A credible independent bid for the presidency is always a long-shot, but might be more viable under these conditions,” but I don’t see why that would be. Who cares about the combined unfavorable score for both parties? If anything, that’s a sign of increased partisan polarization, which would make it more difficult for an independent candidate to make headway. An interesting trendline would be the percentage of Americans who simultaneously hold an unfavorable view of the Democrats and an unfavorable view of the Republicans, which is not a number that could not add up to over 100%.](http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_loxzffLm4e1qd0p40o1_500.jpg)